Downstream off-season, lead prices decline (11.27-12.4)

This week, the lead market (11.27-12.4) fluctuated downward, with the average price in the domestic market at 16210 yuan/ton at the beginning of last week and 15770 yuan/ton at the beginning of this week, a decrease of 2.71%.

 

Thiourea

K-bar chart of commodity prices, using the concept of price trend K-line, reflects the weekly or monthly price fluctuations in the form of a bar chart. Investors can buy and sell based on the changes in the K-bar chart. Red indicates an increase; Green indicates a decline; The height of the K-bar indicates the magnitude of the rise and fall, and the overall market trend has been weak recently. The market has been declining for three consecutive months, and the lead ingot market has seen more declines than gains in recent times.

 

In the futures market, the recent trend of Shanghai lead has basically returned to the fundamental influencing factors, and the overall decline of Shanghai lead in the off-season of the market. LME’s lead inventory has risen to a high of 140000 tons, putting significant pressure on the market. In terms of supply and demand, enterprises that underwent maintenance in early December will resume work, and the lead ingot market is expected to improve. In terms of demand, downstream enthusiasm is relatively strong in the off-season atmosphere, and the battery industry is mainly actively destocking. The demand for automotive batteries is stable, but the overall operation of electric bicycle batteries is weak, and the overall demand is still weak. Overall, the lead ingot market currently has loose supply expectations, weak demand, and is expected to operate weakly overall due to the impact of low demand season and high inventory.

 

On December 3rd, the non-ferrous index was at 1088 points, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 29.26% from the highest point in the cycle of 1538 points (2021-10-18), and an increase of 79.24% from the lowest point of 607 points on November 24th, 2015. (Note: The cycle refers to 2011-12-01 present).

 

According to the price monitoring of Business Society, in the 48th week of 2023 (11.27-12.1), there were a total of 7 commodities in the non-ferrous sector that rose month on month in the list of commodity prices, of which 2 commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 8.7% of the monitored commodities in this sector; The top three commodities with the highest increase were silver (5.59%), nickel (5.21%), and gold (2.13%). There are a total of 12 products with a month on month decline, and 1 product with a decline of more than 5%, accounting for 4.3% of the monitored products in this sector; The top three products with a decline were cobalt (-8.48%), praseodymium neodymium oxide (-4.55%), and praseodymium neodymium alloy (-3.32%). The average increase and decrease this week is -0.38%.

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