1、 Price trend:
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According to the data of the bulk list of the business club, the domestic market of PA6 was sorted out and operated this week, and the spot prices of various brands rose and fell. As of September 2, the mainstream offer price of the sample enterprises for Zhongjian 2.75-2.85 was about 13733.33 yuan / ton, up or down by – 0.24% compared with the average price at the beginning of the week.
2、 Analysis of influencing factors:
Industrial chain: on the upstream side, the caprolactam market price is running at a high price this week, the price trend of raw material pure benzene is fluctuating, and the cost of caprolactam is generally supported. The market of downstream products is general, and the purchase of caprolactam is mainly just needed. Previously, the number of caprolactam production enterprises and equipment maintenance enterprises increased, and the decline of supply eased certain market pressure. It is expected that the market price of caprolactam will be dominated by consolidation and operation in the short term.
The upstream caprolactam market trend is high, and the cost end support of PA6 this week is OK. The operating rate of domestic PA6 polymerization plants has limited changes, and generally remains at about 65%. The supply side of PA6 is abundant, and the profit of polymerization enterprises is average. With the production and consumption of end-users, the shipment of chips increased this week, but the improvement of the overall demand for PA6 was limited. The buyer’s stock operation just needs to maintain production, power and production restrictions in some regions have ended, and it will take some time for the operating rate of end-users and the effect of demand release to appear. The buyer still takes flexible small orders and is cautious in purchasing. The business attitude is general, and the offer is subject to the market.
3、 Future forecast:
Business analysts believe that the spot price of PA6 has been sorted out this week, the price of caprolactam is strong, and the cost support of PA6 is OK. Downstream enterprises just need to take goods to maintain production, and PA6 offers to stop falling sideways. It still takes time to release the demand in the traditional demand peak season, and it is expected that the PA6 market will continue to sort out.
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