1、 Price trend

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 3300 yuan / ton on August 1 and 3550 yuan / ton on August 31. The price of monoammonium phosphate increased by 7.58% this month.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 3450 yuan / ton on August 1, and 3605 yuan / ton on August 31. The price of diammonium phosphate increased by 4.49% this month.

2、 Market analysis

In August, monoammonium phosphate rose first and then fell. In the first half of August, due to better demand, the price of monoammonium phosphate began to rise, and the operating rate of the enterprise was about 70%. The price of monoammonium phosphate is still high, supported by the price of raw materials, and the downstream is purchased on demand. Some enterprises have stopped production for maintenance. In the second half of August, the trading began to be stable, the atmosphere in the venue was flat, and the waiting volume of enterprises decreased. Due to the rising price of raw sulfur, the price of monoammonium phosphate is always at a high level. At the end of August, the price of monoammonium phosphate fell, and the operating rate of the enterprise was about 66%. The trend of monoammonium phosphate is weak. Although the rise of raw material price is supported, the downstream compound fertilizer is weak and the procurement is reduced. By the end of the month, the factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in China was about 3550-3650 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of 58% powdered ammonium is about 3800 yuan / ton.

In August, diammonium phosphate rose first and then fell. In the first half of August, the enterprise had a large waiting volume, tight supply, good downstream demand, and the price of diammonium phosphate increased. In the second half of August, the domestic supply was tight, the orders were mainly export, and the price of diammonium phosphate was stable. At the end of the month, the waiting volume of enterprises was still large, the supply was insufficient, and the price of diammonium phosphate was reduced. The price of raw materials rose and the cost support was strong. Take goods on demand in the downstream and take a wait-and-see attitude. By the end of the month, the factory quotation of 64% mainstream diammonium in Hubei was 3550-3650 yuan / ton, and that of 64% mainstream diammonium in North China was 3400-3500 yuan / ton.

Raw phosphate rock rose by 2.42% in August. At the end of the month, the reference average price in the mainstream areas of 30% grade phosphorus ore in China was around 563 yuan / ton, and the price increased by 13 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the month. In the first ten days of August, the market as a whole operated stably at a high level, the operating rate of the mine was low, the spot supply of medium and high-end phosphorus ore was tight, and most orders were from old customers. In late August, the domestic phosphate ore market closed to the high end again, and some mining enterprises in Guizhou raised the price of medium and high-end phosphate ore again.

3、 Future forecast

According to the ammonium phosphate analysts of the business society, the current ammonium phosphate market transaction is flat, the raw material price rises, and the cost is supported. At present, the number of orders to be issued is reduced, and the market trend is gradually weak. Due to the poor price of urea, the trend of compound fertilizer is weak, and the demand for ammonium phosphate is reduced. It is expected that the trend of ammonium phosphate will remain weak next month, and the trend may run downward.