According to statistics, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate was temporarily stable this week. As of the end of the week, the domestic market price of ammonium nitrate was 2340 yuan / ton, which was the same as the price of 2340 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year increase of 18.98%. On August 14, the commodity index of ammonium nitrate was 123.16, which was the same as yesterday, 1.68% lower than 125.26 (2020-03-15), and 59.18% higher than 77.37, the lowest point on October 31, 2016. (Note: period refers to 2013-02-01 to now).

This week, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. The domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers are in a general situation of plant start-up. The on-site supply of ammonium nitrate is normal. Some manufacturers reflect that the goods are in general. The price trend of manufacturers is temporarily stable. In the near future, the on-site supply of goods is normal, the transportation is normal, and the market price of ammonium nitrate is temporarily stable. In recent years, the market of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is normal, downstream procurement is on demand, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers start normal operation, some manufacturers’ prices are stable, and the market price of ammonium nitrate is temporarily stable. Up to now, the mainstream of negotiation in Shaanxi is 2200-2300 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is 2000-2200 yuan / ton, and that in Hebei is 2400-2700 yuan / ton.

The price trend of domestic concentrated nitric acid fell slightly this week, with the weekend price of 1516.67 yuan / ton, and the price trend of this week dropped by 1.09%. Jiangsu Hongze Yinzhu Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 1500 yuan / ton; Anhui Jinhe offered 1400 yuan / ton; Shandong helitai offered 1750 yuan / ton. Anhui Aodeli quoted 1450 yuan / ton; Wenshui County synthetic chemical industry quoted 1580 yuan / ton. In recent years, the domestic maintenance equipment has been running normally, the market supply of concentrated nitric acid is normal, the situation of goods taking in the field is general, the prices of some manufacturers have fallen down, and the market price of nitric acid has slightly decreased. The decline of nitric acid price is the negative influence of ammonium nitrate Market, and the market price of ammonium nitrate is stable.

The price trend of upstream liquid ammonia rose this week, and the price trend of liquid ammonia rose 0.54% this week. The start-up of liquid ammonia plant was normal, the spot supply was normal, and the market price of liquid ammonia rose slightly. However, due to the impact of inventory pressure, the liquid ammonia plants in Shandong are stable, and the price of liquid ammonia has returned to stable. It is expected that the domestic liquid ammonia market will not change much in the near future, and the trend of various regions will be differentiated to some extent, which may lead to partial imbalance of supply in the short term. It is said that there may be equipment maintenance in large factories in Shandong Province It has great influence on the market price of Shandong and Hebei. On the demand side, the downstream procurement may slow down in the later stage, resulting in some pressure in the later stage of liquid ammonia supply. Domestic liquid ammonia supply pressure still exists, especially the regional imbalance, which leads to greater supply pressure in some regions. In terms of demand, the peak season of downstream fertilizer demand is no longer, the upstream liquid ammonia market price rises slightly, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable.

In the near future, the demand of the downstream civil explosive industry is limited, and the production and sales of nitro compound fertilizer are generally. The price trend of raw material market is temporarily stable, which has a certain cost support for the ammonium nitrate Market. The ammonium nitrate analysts of the business society believe that the market price of ammonium nitrate may stabilize temporarily in the future.

1、 Market price trend chart of paraformaldehyde

Polyoxymethylene price curve

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the average quotation of Polyoxymethylene (96) in Shandong Province this weekend was 4400 yuan / ton, and at the beginning of the week, it was 4433 yuan / ton, down 0.75%.

2、 Market analysis

Shandong aldehyde Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 30000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 4600 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 9000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 4100 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 10000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 4500 yuan / ton, which was 100 yuan / ton lower than last week. Paraformaldehyde is still in general.

According to the price monitoring of the upstream methanol, the domestic methanol market price was 1640 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 1632 yuan / ton at the weekend, with a decrease of 0.46% during the week. The downstream market demand for paraformaldehyde was general.

3、 Future forecast

To sum up, POM analysts believe that the price of POM may be weak.

According to the data of business agency, the average weekly quotation of domestic industrial grade purified water formic acid is 1716.67 yuan / ton this week. The overall formic acid market is relatively stable this week, and the dealers and manufacturers have not adjusted much.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market as a whole showed a relatively stable trend, and the price was flat compared with the same period last month. In terms of equipment: the manufacturers and distributors operate normally and the shipment is acceptable. This week, the supply of formic acid market is fair, and the enterprises have inventory. In terms of price: this week, the quoted price of enterprises is basically around 1716.67 yuan / ton, the mainstream ex factory price of formic acid for industrial water purification is about 1350-1700 yuan / ton, and the quotation of mainstream dealers is at 2750 yuan / ton. As of Friday (August 7), Zibo Pulis Chemical Co., Ltd. offered 1400 yuan / ton; Zhangzhou San’an Chemical Co., Ltd. offered 1350 yuan / ton; Hangzhou Fengchang Trading Co., Ltd. offered 2100 yuan / ton of 85% formic acid in barrels; Jintan local supply and Marketing Co., Ltd. offered 1950 yuan / T; Jinan senhong New Trade Co., Ltd. offered 2700 yuan / T.

The domestic liquid ammonia Market of formic acid upstream products was stable and slightly down. The urea market increased this week, and the price fell. The overall situation of methanol fell slightly. The domestic caustic soda market declined slightly, and the overall trend was stable. The upstream products generally support the formic acid market, while the downstream products such as leather and pesticide industries are relatively stable, and the sales situation is general. This week, there is a small decline in formic acid products.

3、 Future forecast

According to the formic acid data analyst of the business agency, the overall price of 85% industrial grade formic acid in China is relatively stable, and the current price is slightly adjusted compared with the same period last month. Recently, the inventory of dealers is fair, the upstream and downstream demand is relatively cold, and the enterprise’s shipment is not much. It is expected that the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market will be mainly consolidated in the short term.

Trade name: hydrochloric acid

Latest price (August 5): 345.00 yuan / ton

On August 5, the mixed price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong Province dropped slightly, 12.50 yuan / ton, or 3.50%, compared with the price on August 3. The upstream liquid chlorine market is general, which gives weak support to hydrochloric acid, but the high consolidation of the downstream silica and ammonium chloride market has brought a certain support to the price of hydrochloric acid. At the same time, the maintenance of enterprises has increased recently, the supply of hydrochloric acid is relatively tight, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is good. The by-product acid still impacts the market, and the pressure of hydrochloric acid shipment is greater.

Recently, the market price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong area may fluctuate slightly, and the quotation is about 350 yuan / ton.

The commodity index of hydrogenated benzene on July 30 was 34.49, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 66.19% from 102.01 (2014-01-09), and increased by 15.01% from 29.99, the lowest point on April 07, 2020. (Note: the period refers to December 1, 2013 to now).

Summary of price adjustment of pure benzene in Sinopec (North China) in July 2020 (unit: yuan / ton)

Price adjustment amount after date adjustment

July 1 3050 – 200

July 23 3100 + 50

July 27 3200 + 100

30 July 3300 + 100

In July 2020, Sinopec increased the ex factory price of pure benzene three times and lowered it once. As of the end of the month, Sinopec implemented 3300 yuan / ton of pure benzene in North China, an increase of 50 yuan / ton compared with the same period of last month.

It can be seen from the price trend chart of Shandong hydrobenzene monitored in the above figure that the hydrobenzene market has been running smoothly after a small rise in the first half of this month, and the price is rising towards the end of the month, with an overall upward trend of concussion. In the first half of the month, the slight price rise was mainly affected by the slight rebound of pure benzene market price in Shandong. At the beginning of the month, the pure benzene in Shandong experienced a wave of rebound, and then affected by the continuous rise of inventory, the market mentality was slightly poor and the price stabilized. In the same period, the downstream styrene market also slightly improved, aniline inventory pressure eased, prices rose slightly, hydrobenzene market fundamentals and downstream favorable led to market price rise, after the fundamentals were good digestion, pure benzene market price remained stable, hydrogenated benzene market was difficult to support, several continued to rise, entered the consolidation period. After that, the pure benzene market declined slightly in the middle of the year, and the price of pure benzene in Shandong area weakened under the pressure of delivery. Port inventory rose to 264000 tons. Hydrobenzene market fundamentals are under pressure. The price dropped slightly about 50 yuan / ton.

The bottom support of the pure benzene market was stronger, and the external market of pure benzene rose for four consecutive days. Although the port inventory was still high, there was some market purchase intention near the end of the month, which supported the price rise of pure benzene. Crude benzene experienced auction and price fluctuation in the middle and late ten days of the month, which supported the price rebound. The hydrobenzene market was supported by multiple fundamentals, and the price rose.

Start up of some hydrogenated benzene units in 2020

Enterprise name device status device capacity remarks

Shandong Shengyun Chemical Park 100000 tons

Shandong Derun Chemical Park 150000 tons

Shandong Jinneng Chemical Industry Park 100000 tons

Panjin Ruide parking 200000 tons, there are plans in the near future, to be determined

Shandong Huineng chemical 50% 200000 tons

Recently, there are still a lot of overhauling in hydrogenated benzene enterprises, some of which have been shut down for more than three months. The units of Tangshan Baoshun, Panjin Ruide, Jinneng and shouchuang have been shut down. The restart time is still to be determined, and the overall operating rate in East China is still low.

In the aftermarket, the business club believes that the pressure of hydrobenzene market cost remains, and the crude oil price fluctuates, which has caused a certain degree of market wait-and-see sentiment. In the future, the market still needs to focus on the changes of pure benzene inventory.

1、 Price trend

The domestic xylene market fell slightly this week. As of Friday, the domestic average price was about 3510 yuan / ton, down 1.13% from last week.

2、 Analysis and comment

The price of isomeric xylene dropped slightly this week. Affected by the lower profit margin and lower operating rate of downstream PX manufacturers, the demand for isomeric xylene slowed down and the market transaction was not active. At present, the mainstream price in East China is about 3600 yuan / ton. Due to the weak GDP data of Europe and the United States in the second quarter, demand concerns caused by the new coronavirus epidemic and the deepening impact of geopolitical confrontation, the market continues to pay attention to the impact of the continued spread of overseas epidemic on the demand for crude oil due to the economic restart and recovery, as well as the possible economic recovery rescue plan launched by Europe and the United States.

Upstream, crude oil, this week, international oil prices down, high, fall again, overall maintain a volatile trend. As of Friday, spot Brent fell $0.01 per barrel, or 0.02%, to close at $42.885. The longer the oscillation lasts, the greater the possibility of large fluctuations in the future. Therefore, we must not be paralyzed by the boring market. The future market closely watched the fluctuation and breakthrough of Brent crude oil in the range of 40-44 USD / barrel.

Downstream, in terms of PX market, the listed price of domestic Sinopec’s enterprises is about 4800 yuan / ton this week, and the latest external price is about 525 US dollars / ton FOB Korea and 543 US dollars / ton CFR China. It is expected that the PX market will maintain a stable trend in the short term. In terms of PTA market, the domestic PTA spot market price is about 3570 yuan / ton, and the external price is about 437 US dollars / ton CFR China. It is expected that PTA price will continue to maintain a stable trend next week. In terms of ox market, Sinopec’s o-benzene quotation is stable, with the price of 4400 yuan / T. the external price of o-benzene is about 510 US dollars / ton FOB Korea and 538 US dollars / ton CFR China. It is expected that the price of o-benzene will maintain a stable trend next week.

3、 Future forecast

Xylene analysts of the chemical branch of business society believe: in the short term, OPEC + production reduction, total number of oil drilling in the United States and EIA, API inventory data in the short term. In the medium term, on the demand side, the economic and trade situation in Europe and the United States, the geopolitical situation between China and the United States, and the continuous deterioration of the global second epidemic situation have an impact on the economic restart of crude oil demand and the recovery progress of the industrial chain. Next week, we will focus on the impact of the continued spread of the overseas epidemic on the demand for crude oil, and the possible economic recovery rescue plans launched by Europe and the United States. On the whole, it is expected that xylene prices in the domestic market will continue to fluctuate slightly next week.

1、 Domestic sodium pyrosulfite price trend chart

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of domestic sodium pyrosulfite continued to keep stable at the bottom this week. The average price of industrial sodium pyrosulfite at the beginning of the week was 1383.33 yuan / ton, and that at the weekend was 1383.33 yuan / ton, with a rise and fall range of 0.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the overall performance of sodium metabisulfite market remained sluggish. The overall purchase and sales of trading entities were cautious, and the market trading volume was light. The market price range of industrial sodium pyrosulfite was 1250-1500 yuan / ton, and most of the prices were around 1400 yuan / ton. Enterprises mainly complete the orders of old customers, but the increase of new orders is limited. (the above prices all refer to the external quotation of domestic mainstream enterprises, and some unreported enterprises are not included in the scope temporarily. The prices are for reference only and have nothing to do with the final pricing of manufacturers. Please contact all manufacturers for details.).

In July, the domestic sulfur price fell by 2.55%, and the soda ash price increased by 2.63%. The raw material cost of sodium metabisulfite continued to fluctuate at a low level. The downstream demand of sodium pyrosulfite continued to be weak, and the market supply and demand were weak, which could not be alleviated in the short term. In addition, the cost of raw materials continued to be suppressed at a low level, and sodium pyrosulfite recovered and was under pressure in the short term.

3、 Future forecast

Business agency analysts believe that there is no real positive support in the short term, sodium metabisulfite demand is difficult to improve, and it is expected that the domestic sodium pyrosulfite market price will continue to move forward at the bottom.

On July 29, the U.S. WTI crude oil futures market prices rose, with the settlement price of main contracts at $41.27/barrel, up $0.23. Brent crude oil futures market prices rose, with the settlement price of main contracts at $43.09/barrel, up $0.48. Oil prices rose mainly due to the largest drop in US crude oil inventories in the year, but the surge in global epidemic cases limited the rise in oil prices.

U.S. crude oil inventories fell sharply last week, the largest weekly decline since the end of December 2019, according to a report released by the U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) on Wednesday. Data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories fell 10.6 million barrels to 525.97 million barrels in the week ending July 24, and analysts had expected an increase of 357000 barrels. The decline in inventories is said to be due to a drop in net US crude oil imports by 1 million barrels a day to 1.9 million barrels a day. This is mainly due to the direct impact of OPEC + over scale production reduction. The favorable inventory brought a boost to the oil market, and the oil price rose slightly in the current atmosphere under the pressure of the epidemic situation.

Although U.S. crude oil inventories declined significantly, distillate and gasoline inventories increased. U.S. gasoline inventories rose by 654000 barrels to 247.39 million barrels in the week of 24, after analysts surveyed had expected a decrease of 700000 barrels. Distillate stocks, including diesel and heating oil, rose 503000 barrels to 178.39 million barrels, the highest level since December 1982; analysts had expected a decrease of 300000 barrels. The market is generally concerned about the rise of crude oil inventory and the weakening of the US dollar, which are favorable factors for oil price. However, the oil price did not rise significantly. The main reason is the impact of the slowdown in demand. As can be seen from the obvious increase in the stock of refined oil products, due to the impact of the epidemic, many states in the United States once again took some restrictive measures. Now it is the peak driving season in the United States, but according to the gasoline inventory data, the peak season table is as follows The increase in gasoline inventory indicates that the demand for driving is not as good as that in the same period of previous years. According to the news, many people are still working at home, which may make it difficult to get rid of the short-term downturn in crude oil demand.

In the view of business associations, it is difficult to see a fundamental improvement in fuel demand under the background of still severe epidemic situation. Although the United States and Europe have recently introduced economic stimulus policies, most of them are monetary policy solutions. Due to the particularity of the epidemic situation, it is difficult to solve the problem from the perspective of increasing money supply. At present, the rebalancing of market supply and demand is mainly due to the efforts of oil producing countries to limit production. However, according to the previous agreement reached by OPEC +, the record production reduction will end in July. If OPEC + reduces the share of production reduction, it may further break the current balance of the oil market and increase the pressure on demand. Naturally, it will bring great pressure on the oil price, and there is also a downward risk of oil price.

1、 Price trend

This week, the selling price of sulfuric acid in Shandong was temporarily stable, with an offer of 427.50 yuan / ton, up 76.29% over the same period last year. Overall, this week’s sulfuric acid market temporarily stable, July 24 sulfuric acid commodity index was 66.54.

2、 Market analysis

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the price of mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers in Shandong this week is temporarily stable, the manufacturers’ inventory is small, and the downstream demand is strong. Heze Jiangyuan quoted 350 yuan / ton at weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Zouping Tianlu offered 240 yuan / ton at weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jinan Yuanfei quoted 550 yuan / T, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; kunshengda of Taiyuan City quoted 570 yuan / T at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week.

From the upstream and downstream industrial chain, the upstream sulfur market has declined slightly recently, and the cost support is generally. However, the market of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate in the lower reaches has increased, which has a positive impact on sulfuric acid, and the price of bromine has also hit the bottom and rebounded, which has a positive impact on sulfuric acid. At the same time, some sulfuric acid factories are short of operation recently, the load is reduced, and the supply of sulfuric acid is in short supply.

3、 Future forecast

In the last ten days of July, the market of sulfuric acid in Shandong Province was mainly up. Although the upstream sulfur price has dropped slightly recently, the downstream market has rebounded after hitting the bottom. The demand for sulfuric acid in the downstream is positive. The product trend is upward under the contradiction between supply and demand. The sulfuric acid analysts of the business agency believe that the short-term Shandong market in the supply and demand and raw materials and other aspects of the impact of sulfuric acid market or a small rise.

Price trend

According to the business agency data monitoring, plasticizer DOP prices hit the bottom and rebounded this week. As of July 24, the price of DOP in East China was 7166.67 yuan / ton, which rebounded from the bottom of DOP price of 7033.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, up 1.90%, and remained stable compared with the same period last year.

Upstream market of industrial chain

It can be seen from the trend chart of raw material phthalic anhydride that DOP phthalic anhydride price bottomed out this week and remained stable after rebound. The cost of DOP remained stable, and the downward pressure of DOP weakened.

It can be seen from the octanol price trend chart that octanol price rose in shock this week, the pressure of DOP cost rise increased, and the driving force of DOP market rising increased.

Downstream market of industrial chain

From the PVC price trend chart can be seen, this week, PVC prices fell, plasticizer DOP downstream market fell. The plasticizer DOP decreased and the pressure increased.

Market review and future expectation

Business agency DOP data analyst Bai Jiaxin believes that in terms of raw materials, phthalic anhydride and octanol prices hit the bottom and rebound, which is beneficial to the plasticizer Market; on the downstream side, the PVC market fell, which was negative for the plasticizer DOP market. Overall, the plasticizer DOP market is mixed, and the future DOP market is expected to be stable.