Trade name: chlorinated paraffin

Latest price (December 30): 5166.67 yuan / ton

Analysis points on December 30, the overall trend of domestic chlorinated paraffin market was weak and stable, the price of upstream liquid paraffin was relatively stable, and the liquid chlorine market continued to decline. The overall market trading atmosphere of chlorinated paraffin was empty, traders were cautious in taking goods, and the wait-and-see mood was obvious. The downstream mainly purchased on demand, the market demand was poor, and the price was weak and stable. Business community chlorinated paraffin analysts believe that the overall market trading atmosphere of chlorinated paraffin is general, the overall output of chlorinated paraffin remains low, and the market still continues the situation of weak supply and demand. The price of chlorinated paraffin is expected to be stable in the short term.

Trade name: ammonium sulfate

Latest price (December 29): 560 yuan / ton

Analysis points: on December 29, ammonium sulfate continued to weaken, with a narrow downward trend. The main price of ammonium sulfate in Henan Province is about 530-570 yuan / ton. The main price of powdered ammonium sulfate in Hebei Province is about 600 yuan / ton, which is relatively stable. The mainstream ex factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Shandong Province is about 380-575 yuan / ton, slightly down. At present, it is 490-520 yuan / ton in Shanxi Province. The mainstream ex factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Hunan is about 700 yuan / ton, which is relatively stable. The price of domestic grade is mainly consolidated, and there is no obvious fluctuation for the time being. According to the ammonium sulfate analysts of the business club, the overall market trading atmosphere of ammonium sulfate is general, downstream manufacturers are about to disappear and dealers are mainly purchasing on demand, who can take it with you, the demand is limited, and the new orders are not good. It is expected that the price of ammonium sulfate will be stable in the short term.

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market was temporarily stable in December. By the end of the month, the market price of ammonium nitrate was 2880 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with the price of 2880 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, with a year-on-year increase of 23.48%.

In December, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market was mainly stable. The operation of domestic ammonium nitrate plants was stable. In the near future, the supply of goods on the site was normal. The goods on the site were in general, and the price trend on the site was stable. In the near future, the shipment market of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is normal, and the downstream is purchased on demand. In the near future, the trend of nitro compound fertilizer in the downstream is stable. There are still many production stops in the domestic downstream civil explosive industry. The domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers start to work normally, and the market price of ammonium nitrate remains stable. Up to now, the mainstream of negotiation in Shaanxi is 2500-2600 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is 2300-2400 yuan / ton, and that in Hebei is 3000-3300 yuan / ton.

The price trend of domestic concentrated nitric acid rose sharply in December. By the end of the month, the average price of domestic nitric acid was 2050 yuan / ton, up 13.89% from 1800 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month. Shanxi Xinghua quoted 1950 yuan / ton; Anhui Jinhe quoted 2000 yuan / ton; Shandong helitai quoted 2200 yuan / ton. Anhui Audley quoted 1960 yuan / ton. Recently, the domestic nitric acid plant has been running stably, the supply of concentrated nitric acid market is normal, and the delivery of goods in the market has increased. In December, the price of nitric acid market has risen sharply, and the price of raw nitric acid has risen, which has formed a certain positive support for the ammonium nitrate Market, and the price of ammonium nitrate Market has fluctuated at a high level.

The price of domestic liquid ammonia in the upstream market rose in December. By the end of the month, the price of liquid ammonia was 3290 yuan / ton, up 3.89% from 3166.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month. According to the monitoring of the business community, the price rise in the domestic liquid ammonia market is mainly due to the large stability of the price of liquid ammonia, the support of the supply performance of large plants, the normal operation of the plant, and the reasonable inventory pressure. Affected by the current stability of the domestic urea market as a whole, especially due to the limited production in some parts of the country and the decline of the operating rate, the supply has brought some support. At present, the amount of ammonia in Shandong maintains the previous level, It is still in the middle and high level. In terms of the downstream, in the off-season of agricultural fertilizer, the terminal does not take delivery of the goods, there is no market in many places, the price of liquid ammonia rises slightly, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable in December.

In the near future, the demand of the downstream civil explosive industry is general, and the market demand for ammonium nitrate is normal, but the market price of raw material ammonium nitrate has a certain supporting role, and the ammonium nitrate analysts of the business community think that the market price of ammonium nitrate will fluctuate in the later stage.

Price trend

The coming year of 2020 is not only full of challenges, but also full of opportunities in a year when the internal and external environment of the industry is more complicated. Just like this year’s rubber and plastic industry, all kinds of resistance did not stop the rapid development of the domestic rubber and plastic industry. According to the data of the business community’s block data list, most of the plastic products developed well this year. As of December 25, the average price of PA66 medium viscosity injection molding sample enterprises was about 28900 yuan / ton, up 25.18% from the price level at the beginning of the year. This year, following the macroeconomic situation of last year and the serious imbalance between supply and demand of PA66, the market of this year will not go smoothly. Let’s review the market situation of PA66 in 2020 and grasp the current price pulse.

As time goes by, it has been two years since PA66′s glory in 2018. From the results, the demand is weak due to the heavy pressure on downstream costs, and the imbalance between supply and demand obviously has an impact on 2020. In the beginning of this year, the public health events affected China. PA66 industry chain generally returns to work slowly, during which the market has price but no market. The stagnant trading is unfavorable to the future market, and the limited operating space restricts the spot price of PA66. By April this year, the PA66 industry chain had resumed production in an all-round way.

In the second quarter, the load of PA66 manufacturers returned to normal. After the previous market plunge, the current price was low and the supply and demand were not prosperous. On the contrary, the operating rate does not fall but rises, and the inventory pressure gradually increases. Similarly, PA66 spot supply has consistently been adequate. The background of imbalance between supply and demand met the off-season consumption of engineering plastics. On June 8, the average price of engineering plastics fell to an annual low of 18600 yuan / ton, 19.44% lower than the price level at the beginning of the year. At that time, it was difficult to see the turning point in the second half of the year.

Due to the lack of confidence in the future market, as early as June, the domestic PA66 chip factory began to reduce the negative production. The operating rate of Shenma industry was about 80%. Half of the units of Huafeng Group were shut down, half of the units of Dandong Youfu technology were shut down, and even the production of Liaoyang Xingjia was directly shut down. So far in July, PA66 stopped falling and ran in shock. The situation of oversupply of spot goods has partially changed, but the stock in the market has been digested. PA66 industry market adjustment gear began to turn, and the time is coming to the traditional peak season “golden nine silver ten”.

In September, the operating rate of domestic PA66 did not change much, and the shortage of goods in the market began to appear. Orders follow-up speed gradually accelerated, stock boom before the festival pushed up demand, BASF, a large foreign manufacturer, announced several times to increase the price of PA66 industry chain products in the Asia Pacific region. During this period, DuPont, Randic and other large factories also followed up, and the news of direct price increase was announced. PA66 market began to pick up. During the period, the tepid adipic acid market was also driven by PA66 and pure benzene market, with adipic acid in East China rising 5.14% in October. Due to the shortage of supply, the inventory position of polymerization plant is on the low side. Due to the task of supplying core old customers, the on-site supply is more tight than it seems.

In the fourth quarter, the domestic epidemic prevention work was stable, and the market ushered in a restorative growth. The purchase and sales volume of terminal products increased significantly, among which the home appliance and automobile industry made great efforts. PA66 has been trading at the same level as the traditional peak market. The increase was concentrated in the first and middle of November, with a total increase of 30.24%. At the end of the year, the price of PA66 tends to be stable, the replenishment operation of downstream factories tends to be rigid demand, and the price is high and firm.

Business analysts believe that: in 2020, the domestic market of PA66 looks like looking for the moon from the bottom of a haystack, and the price will be suppressed first and then increased, achieving a quarter of the increase in the whole year. The contradiction of oversupply that plagued PA66 in the past two years was eased in the middle of the year. At present, the production scheduling of PA66 enterprises is smooth, and the price is running steadily. PA66 industry chain has developed steadily this year, and the future is promising.

1、 Price trend of formic acid

(Figure: P value curve of formic acid products)

2、 Market analysis

Recently, the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market has been running steadily. According to the data of the business club, the average price quoted by formic acid enterprises as of December 22 was 2383.33 yuan / ton, which was 6.72% higher than last Tuesday (December 15), and 15.32% higher than that of last Tuesday (December 15). Recently, some enterprises have reduced the production load, and the market is affected by the shortage of supply. The formic acid market continues to rise, and the price rises steadily.

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the quotation of some enterprises’ formic acid price is 2400 yuan / ton for industrial grade 85% formic acid of Zhangzhou San’an Chemical Co., Ltd., 2550 yuan / ton of industrial grade 85% formic acid of Zibo pulisi Chemical Co., Ltd., and 3200 yuan / ton of industrial grade 85% formic acid of Henan bafosi chemical products Co., Ltd, The actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

For the upstream caustic soda, on December 21, the price of caustic soda in Shandong was temporarily stable, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda was 400-530 yuan / ton. The downstream purchasing demand was general, and there was a certain conflict with the current caustic soda price. It is expected that the follow-up or narrow range of caustic soda sorting will be weak. According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the average price quoted by enterprises as of December 21 was 3233.33 yuan / ton, up 2.11% compared with the beginning of the month %For upstream sulfuric acid, on December 21, the sulfuric acid Market in Shandong was temporarily stable, and the sulfur market in the upstream region rose slightly recently with good cost support, but the downstream purchasing enthusiasm was general, the supply of sulfuric acid was normal, and the ex factory price of sulfuric acid in the future market fluctuated slightly; for upstream methanol, the domestic methanol market situation continued to rise recently, and some manufacturers increased the ex factory quotation, with the price adjustment range of 50-80 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of December 21, the average price of methanol producers in Shandong was 2290 yuan / ton, with a month on month increase of 8.15% and a year-on-year increase of 9.57%.

According to the price monitoring of the business community, on December 21, 2020, there were 16 kinds of commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, with the top three rising commodities being octanol (4.71%), cyclohexanone (3.71%) and n-butanol (industrial grade) (3.62%). There were 14 kinds of commodities with a decrease of more than 5%, accounting for 1.1% of the total number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products were silicone DMC (- 5.43%), epoxy resin (- 4.91%), acetone (- 4.80%). The average rise and fall was 0.02%.

3、 Future forecast

Formic acid analysts of the business community believe that the upstream raw material support is OK in the near future, the supply of formic acid market is reduced, and the downstream demand procurement is not obvious. It is expected that the formic acid market will be strong in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the market news guidance.

In recent years, the domestic methanol market continued to rise, some manufacturers increased the ex factory quotation, the price adjustment range was about 50-80 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of December 21, the average price of methanol producers in Shandong was 2290 yuan / ton, with a month on month increase of 8.15% and a year-on-year increase of 9.57%.

As of December 21, summary of methanol market prices in various regions:

Region, price

Qinghai Area/

RMB 2100-2140 / T in Shanxi

RMB 2200 / T in Liaoning

2600-2610 yuan / ton in Fujian Province

The factory reference of Lianghu area is 2300-2460 yuan / ton

2345-2400 yuan / T acceptance delivery in Anhui

Henan Province factory reference 2230-2250 yuan / ton

At present, the market price of methanol in Northwest China continues to rise, some enterprises can ship temporarily, and the freight is still firm. The price of receiving goods in the lower reaches of Shandong province keeps up with the increase, and the profits of traders are still remaining, mainly pursuing the rise. The market of formaldehyde and dimethyl ether in the downstream rose, which was good to pull. The decline of acetic acid and MTBE slowed down, and the persistence was excessive, which had little impact on the methanol market in the short term.

In the external market, as of December 18, the closing price of methanol in the US Gulf was 117.75-118.25 cents / gallon, while that in Rotterdam on FOB was 340.00-341.00 euro / ton, up 0.5 euro / ton. CFR China’s methanol closed at US $300.50-301.50/t, up US $10 / T; CFR Southeast Asia’s methanol closed at US $350.50-351.50/t, up US $21 / T.

From the perspective of the future market, on the positive side, some enterprises in Southwest China have shut down or reduced production load; some enterprises have stopped selling or restricted sales, and the supply side has been tightened; the trend of coal and natural gas is stronger, and the methanol cost side is better supported. In the late stage, the demand of low-temperature olefin plants in Ningbo is still lower than that of low-temperature plants, and the overall demand of low-temperature olefin plants in Ningbo is still lower than that of other downstream companies, and the overall demand of low-temperature olefin plants in Ningbo is still weak. Analysts predict the short-term methanol market.

1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, isopropanol prices fell this week. The average price of isopropanol in China was 9533.33 yuan / ton at the end of last week and 8500 yuan / ton this weekend. The price of isopropanol was reduced by 10.84% during the week.

2、 Market analysis

Chart: comparison of acetone and isopropanol price trend from August to November

The price of isopropanol was lowered this week, and the price of isopropanol was also down due to the fall of acetone. Internationally, isopropanol in the United States rose sharply on December 15, while the European isopropanol market closed slightly higher. Up to now, the negotiation range of isopropanol in Shandong Province is about 8200-8800 yuan / ton, and that of Jiangsu Province is about 8200-8500 yuan / ton. Zhejiang isopropanol negotiation range is around 8200 yuan / ton. The quotation of isopropanol from propylene process is about 8700 yuan / ton. Recently, the domestic isopropanol market is weak and declining, and the atmosphere on the floor is empty.

In terms of raw material acetone, the offer of acetone market in East China decreased this week, and the transaction was obviously insufficient after the on-site replenishment inquiry. According to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the domestic acetone price was 8750 yuan / ton at the end of last week, and the average price was 8075 yuan / ton at the end of this week. During the week, the price dropped by 7.71%. Although the atmosphere of the negotiation in the acetone market was general, the traders withdrew from the market at a very low price, and the market submitted the price adjustment. Some traders participated in the market and followed up the small orders. However, factories continued to make up for the decline, with the mainstream implementation of 8000 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw material propylene, the propylene market price in Shandong this week went down individually. According to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the domestic propylene price at the end of last week was 8102.73 yuan / ton, while the average price of this weekend was 7965.55 yuan / ton, and the price dropped by 1.69% during the week. At present, the manufacturer’s inventory pressure is slightly increased, and the shipment situation is ordinary. Crude oil prices fluctuated, the downstream market slightly cold, so it is expected that propylene prices will fluctuate in the near future, slightly downward.

3、 Future forecast

Isopropanol analysts of the chemical branch of the business society believe that: the raw material acetone has been greatly reduced, propylene has been slightly down, the downward cost has depressed the mentality of the downstream market of isopropanol, downstream orders are cautious, and the enthusiasm for buying is limited. At present, the domestic market demand is light, traders mainly wait and see. In the short term, isopropanol market may still have room for price reduction, focusing on the follow-up news changes.

According to the monitoring of the bulk data of the business agency, affected by the negative impact of enterprise maintenance, the domestic dichloromethane market has been strong and upward. As of December 16, the average price in Shandong was about 3610 yuan / ton, up 7.12% compared with the beginning of the month and 16.45% higher than the same period of last month.

Production capacity and operation of the enterprise

Shandong Jinling: 440000 tons / year: 30%

Dongying Jinmao 120000 tons / year parking

Luxi Chemical Industry: 400000 tons / year: 50%

Shandong Dongyue: 280000 tons / year: 50%

Jiangxi Liwen: 120000 tons / year: 70%

Jiangsu Liwen: 160000 tons / year

Jiangsu Meilan 200000 tons / year 70%

Quhua, Zhejiang: 300000 yuan / year: 70%

Zhejiang Juhua 300000 tons / year 40%

Affected by the negative impact of enterprise maintenance, the domestic dichloromethane market continued to rise. The overall market started at about 50%, and the supply side support was good. The decline in the price of raw material liquid chlorine led to the weakening of cost support. However, the overall starting level of the industry was low, and the downstream market was purchasing rigid demand, and the inventory situation in the industry remained stable. At present, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong is about 3500-3610 yuan / ton, about 3800 yuan / ton in Jiangsu Liwen and 3400 yuan / ton in Jiangxi Liwen.

In terms of raw materials, the overall methanol market is relatively strong, and the prices in the mainland and ports have increased in different ways. The mainland market is affected by the gas restriction in Southwest China and the overhaul of some units. The market atmosphere is good, and the upstream shipment is smooth. Some enterprises have stopped selling or limited sales for a long time, about 2130 yuan / ton at present. The liquid chlorine market continues to decline, and the downstream market starts to decline due to the high cost At present, the mainstream quotation in the industry is about 1500-1600 yuan / ton.

The market trend of downstream refrigerants is strong, some enterprises are out of stock and have to suspend quotation. They can only resume after the new quota comes out. At present, the heat of market inquiry is reduced, there are not many new orders, and most of the operators are waiting-and-see.the pharmaceutical and agricultural solvent industry has started smoothly, and the support for dichloromethane is general.

According to the methane chloride data of the business society, the overall supply of the industry is limited at present. With the decline of liquid chlorine price, enterprises in Shandong area may start to recover, while the downstream market just needs to be flat. It is expected that the price of dichloromethane will be stable and firm in a short time. Pay attention to the change of liquid chlorine price of raw materials.

1、 Market price trend chart of paraformaldehyde

Polyoxymethylene price curve

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the average price of paraformaldehyde on December 11 was 5200 yuan / ton, and that on December 15 was 5233 yuan / ton, with an increase of 0.64%.

2、 Market analysis

Shandong aldehyde Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 30000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 5000 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 9000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 5300 yuan / ton, which was 100 yuan / ton higher than last week. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 10000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 5400 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Paraformaldehyde market is better, and the impact of upstream methanol rise, some manufacturers raised their prices.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the domestic methanol market rose. From December 7 to December 15, the quotation of methanol producers in Shandong Province rose by 1.05%.

3、 Future forecast

Supported by the upstream raw material methanol, as well as the downstream pesticide market trading atmosphere is good, the business club paraformaldehyde analysts believe that: paraformaldehyde may be the main actor.

1、 Price trend

This week, the selling price of sulphuric acid in Shandong is stable temporarily, with the quotation of 437.50 yuan / ton. Overall, sulfuric acid market rose this week, December 11 sulfuric acid commodity index was 68.09.

2、 Market analysis

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the price of mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers in Shandong this week is temporarily stable, the manufacturers’ inventory is small, and the downstream demand is strong. Heze Jiangyuan quoted 480 yuan / ton at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Zouping Tianlu quoted 300 yuan / ton at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jinan Yuanfei quoted 400 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; kunshengda of Taiyuan City quoted 570 yuan / T at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week.

From the perspective of the upstream and downstream industrial chain, the upstream sulfur market has been consolidation at a high level recently, and the cost support is good. However, the market of monoammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate and bromine in the lower reaches of the market has a positive impact on sulfuric acid. At the same time, some sulfuric acid factories are short of operation recently, the load is reduced, and the supply of sulfuric acid is in short supply.

3、 Future forecast

In the middle of December, the market of sulfuric acid in Shandong Province fluctuated slightly. The price of sulfur in the upstream has been high recently, and the downstream market is good. The purchasing enthusiasm of the downstream for sulfuric acid is normal, and the product trend is upward under the contradiction between supply and demand. The sulfuric acid analysts of the business agency believe that the short-term Shandong market in the supply and demand and raw materials and other aspects of the impact of sulfuric acid market or a small shock rise.