After the steep price reduction of large manufacturers, Silicone DMC future worrying

According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of April 13, the average quoted price of silicone DMC in the mainstream area of data monitoring was 28400 yuan / ton, which was reduced by 833 yuan / ton, or 2.85%, compared with the price on April 1 (29233 yuan / ton).

 

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In mid March, the domestic market price of silicone DMC once exceeded the 30000 yuan / ton mark. Before that, the ex factory quotation of a large silicone DMC factory in Shandong rose to 30200 yuan / ton, causing an uproar in the market. However, the game between supply and demand immediately appeared at a high level. The market price of silicone DMC dropped rapidly for several days. Near the end of the month, the market decline stopped temporarily, and the price callback was around 29000 yuan / ton.

 

After the Qingming Festival, the factory price of silicone DMC dropped continuously, and the industry’s wait-and-see mood became increasingly strong

 

In April, a few days before the Qingming Festival, the overall trend of the domestic silicone DMC market did not change much, but returned after the festival. On the 6th, Shandong’s last big manufacturers reduced the ex factory price of silicone DMC by 600 yuan / ton, and the low-end quotation of silicone DMC fell to 28600 yuan / ton. Most of the other manufacturers maintained a temporary stable quotation, and some manufacturers continued to seal the market, so the market continued to be stable We are in a strong mood, and the number of new orders from manufacturers has decreased compared with the previous period.

 

Entering this week, on Monday (12th), Luxi Chemical, a large factory in Shandong Province, once again sharply reduced the ex factory price of silicone DMC. At present, the ex factory price of silicone DMC in this factory has dropped to 26400 yuan / ton, which is 2200 yuan / ton lower than the price after the festival. The price of other factories is still stable, and the price of individual factories is reduced by about 300 yuan / ton. At present, as of December 12, the average ex factory price of silicone DMC is around 26400-29500 yuan / ton, the average price is 28400 yuan / ton, and some high-end offers are 29800 yuan / ton.

 

What’s the future of silicone industry?

 

At present, after Dachang cliff type falls Although most of the other manufacturers did not keep up with the price drop of large manufacturers, the sharp drop in this round still severely damaged the confidence of the industry. In addition, the downstream orders have decreased recently, the overall demand has weakened, and the wait-and-see mood in the market is more intense. For the future trend of silicone DMC, the industry holds a wait-and-see attitude, worried about the future trend of silicone DMC, and the inner mentality of the industry is different. According to the analysts of silicone DMC of business news agency, there is no strength to break through the short-term silicone DMC, but most factories can still maintain stable quotation with the support of early orders. Therefore, it is expected that the market price of silicone DMC in the short term will mainly maintain stable operation.

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On April 12, 2021, the price of silicon metal decreased

On April 12, 2021, the price of metallic silicon (441) was lowered. According to the data of business news agency, the average market price of domestic silicon metal (441) was 13291.67 yuan / ton on April 12, a decrease of 2.57% compared with the average market price of 13641.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of April (4.1).

 

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On December 12, the prices of 441 silicon in different regions were as follows:

 

The price range of silicon metal in Fujian is 12700-12900 yuan / ton, that in Sichuan is 13100-13300 yuan / ton, that in Kunming is 13000-13200 yuan / ton, that in Shanghai is 13800-14000 yuan / ton, that in Tianjin is 13300-13400 yuan / ton, and that in Huangpu is 13300-13500 yuan / ton .

 

Today, the silicon price of the port generally fell, with a drop of 150-200 yuan / ton. At present, the silicon price fell mainly based on two factors.

 

First, the south is expected to have abundant water, and the Southwest has a high operating rate, so the current market supply is relatively sufficient. Although the social inventory of silicon metal in the three places is slightly lower than that at the beginning of this month, with a range of about 7000 tons, the overall supply and demand is expected, and the market expects a larger increase in the supply side.

 

Second, after a wave of soaring prices in the downstream market, terminal consumption is under pressure, and the driving force of silicon metal based on the demand side is weakened.

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Smooth operation of China’s domestic DMF Market

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of April 9, the average quotation price of domestic premium DMF enterprises was 10900.00 yuan / ton. This week, the domestic DMF market price rose steadily and continued the stable trend. Compared with the same period last week, the price rose by 0.31%, and compared with the same period last month, the price rose by 5.83%.

 

This week, the domestic DMF market was stable and on the upper side, the market price maintained the early trend, the trend of big stability and small movement, and some enterprises’ centralized maintenance was recovering in succession. Henan Junhua is expected to recover in May, Shaanxi Xinghua’s start-up is low, the upstream methanol transaction atmosphere is general and weak, some enterprises’ prices are down, and the cost support of DMF is weak. The current reference price of DMF is 11450-11600 yuan / ton in East China market, South China market 11700-11800 yuan / ton, up

 

Business agency DMF analysts believe that: it is expected that DMF will run stably in the short term, maintain the early trend, lack of momentum, no pressure on inventory, the overall market supply and demand balance, and the fluctuation range is limited. (to know more about the latest industry market trends, welcome to pay attention to the official account of the business community, obtain commodity information, and grasp the price of commodities).

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China’s domestic ethanol market price declines in a narrow range

Recently, the domestic ethanol market has been in a narrow decline, and the performance of the markets in different regions is different. According to the sample data monitored by the business society, as of April 7, the price of domestic ethanol market was 6912 yuan / ton, with the price falling 4.82% on a month-on-year basis, and the price rose 32.61% year on year.

 

In terms of market conditions in various regions, the ethanol market in Henan and East China is weak; the ethanol market in Northeast China is stable; the ethanol market in Dongguan continues to decline; the ethanol market in Guangxi is stable; the ethanol market in Yunnan is stable.

 

From the aspect of raw materials, from the perspective of raw materials, corn price range fluctuates. Recently, the policy-based regulation and control efforts have been constantly upgraded. At the end of March, the state has extended the period of storage of rice for directional auction. At the beginning of April, relevant departments revised the auction and trading rules of entrusted wheat again, limiting the participation of feed and flour enterprises in the auction, and can only be used by themselves and not monopolized. From the perspective of demand, the domestic market of ethyl acetate rose. The downstream goods prepared before the downstream Festival digested the stock in the site smoothly last week, with the recent increase of raw acid significantly, the market of ethyl acetate and demand support strong, and the manufacturers adjusted the price of offer to rise successively.

 

The latest price trends of ethanol market in various regions:

 

Region, category, price

General level 6900-7000 yuan / ton in Shandong Province

Superior level in Henan Province 7180-7250 yuan / ton tax included

Anhydrous ethanol in Henan Province 7800-7950 yuan / ton tax

Hebei Province general level 7450-7500 yuan / ton

No water in coal in Hebei Province 8100-8150 yuan / ton

Corn alcohol general grade in Heilongjiang Province RMB 6650-6800 / ton tax

General alcohol in Jilin Province rmb6650 / ton tax

Shandong Province general level 6750-6800 yuan / ton

Shandong Province corn superior grade RMB 7500 / T

No water in corn in Shandong Province 7750-7800 yuan / ton

General class of South Jiangsu Province 6900 yuan / ton

North Jiangsu Province: general level: 6850 yuan / ton

General corn grade in Anhui Province is about 7150-7200 yuan / ton

General cassava grade in Anhui Province is about 6900-7000 yuan / ton

Anhydrous water in Anhui Province is about RMB 7850-7900 / ton

Guangxi area honey alcohol 7200-7300 yuan / ton

Cassava alcohol in Guangxi area 6800-7050 yuan / ton

Anhydrous ethanol in Guangxi area 7600-7700 yuan / ton

Cassava alcohol in Guangdong Province is about 7150-7200 yuan / ton

Anhydrous cassava ethanol in Guangdong Province is about 7700-7900 yuan / ton

Corn alcohol in Sichuan Province is about 7900-8100 yuan / ton with tax

Molasses alcohol in Yunnan Province is about 7050 yuan / ton

Cassava alcohol in Yunnan Province is about 6950 yuan / ton

Corn price consolidation and operation, in the short term, there is no possibility of rising downstream demand, market supply and demand imbalance. Ethanol analysts of business agencies expect that in the short term, corn ethanol is weak.

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The price of NBR remained stable after soaring in March

In March, the market price of NBR was stable after soaring. According to the monitoring of business society, the price of NBR was 19900 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, rising all the way to 22950 yuan / ton, the highest point of the month. The price of NBR was mainly stable in late March. Overall, the end of the month increased by 15.33% compared with the beginning of the month.

 

In March, the ex factory price of domestic Lanhua nitrile increased by about 2700 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of March 31, Lanzhou Petrochemical n41e reported 19600 yuan / ton, 3305e reported 21200 yuan / ton, 3308e reported 21600 yuan / ton; as of March 31, Sinopec xibuer 2665 reported 20200 yuan / ton, and 3365 reported 20600 yuan / ton. In March, the nitrile manufacturers started operation stably and the inventory was low. At the beginning of this month, the downstream product enterprises started to recover gradually after the Spring Festival, the demand for goods preparation increased, and the demand side support was strong; at the later stage, the demand side support was mainly just demand support, and the demand side support was weakened. The high price of nitrile also made the upstream and downstream slightly deadlocked, and the market price gradually stabilized. As of the end of the month, the market offer of Lanhua n41 was around 19800-20000 yuan / ton, South Korea lg6250 was around 22000 yuan / ton, Russia 3365 was around 19700-20000 yuan / ton, and Nandi 1052 was around 24000-24500 yuan / ton.

 

The price of raw materials is stable and weak, and the cost side is empty. According to the monitoring of business news agency, the price of butadiene was 8368 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 7860 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with an overall decrease of 6.08%.

 

Future forecast: NBR business analysts believe that the overall pressure on the supply side of NBR is not big, but on the one hand, the international crude oil is weak and volatile, and there is a downward risk on the cost side. In addition, the downstream procurement of NBR is not strong, and the support on the demand side is insufficient. It is expected that NBR will be weak and fall slightly in the future.

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Market price of lithium hydroxide rose in March

1、 Price trend of lithium hydroxide

 

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(p-value curve of lithium hydroxide product)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

In March, the domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide Market was strong and stable after rising. According to the data of the business club’s block list, as of March 31, the average price of domestic industrial lithium hydroxide enterprises was 75000 yuan / ton, up 15.98% compared with March 1, 44.23% year-on-year in a three-month cycle, and 31.58% compared with the same period last year.

 

In the first half of March, the cost support was strong, the spot supply was tight, the downstream enterprises actively inquired, and the demand side performance was fair, which boosted the mentality of manufacturers. The enterprise’s low price shipping intention was not strong, and the market atmosphere was strong. The average price of the enterprise rose to 75000 yuan / ton. In the second half of March, the enterprise mainly delivered early orders, the downstream demand was relatively stable, and the market of industrial grade lithium hydroxide was high Stable operation.

 

In March 2021, the market price of lithium carbonate in East China continued to rise steadily. According to the price monitoring of the business community, as of March 31, the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 86800 yuan / ton, which was 11.86% higher than that at the beginning of the month (the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 77600 yuan / ton on March 1). On March 31, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 90400 yuan / ton, which increased by 9.18% compared with the average price at the beginning of March (the average price of carbon in East China was 82800 yuan / ton).

 

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the list of commodity prices in March 2021, there were 56 kinds of commodities in the chemical industry sector, among which 33 kinds of commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 35.9% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities were chloroform (23.76%), organosilicon DMC (23.52%) and aniline (21.56%). There were 33 kinds of commodities with a month on month decrease, and 20 kinds of commodities with a decrease of more than 5%, accounting for 21.7% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products with a decrease were phthalic anhydride (- 23.34%), n-butanol (industrial grade) (- 23.13%) and isooctanol (- 22.15%). The average rise and fall this month was 2.07%.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Analysts of lithium hydroxide from business news agency believe that in April, the upstream lithium carbonate market is mainly stable, and the demand side is relatively stable. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide market may be mainly stable, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the market information guidance.

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The price trend of fluorite in China’s domestic market declined slightly in March

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic fluorite decreased slightly in March. By the end of the month, the average price of domestic fluorite was 2738.89 yuan / ton, 0.80% lower than 2761.11 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and 16.16% lower than the same period last year.

 

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In March, the price trend of fluorite dropped slightly. Recently, the manufacturers reported that the order situation of fluorite was general, the shipping situation of the merchants on the floor was normal, the supply of fluorite on the floor increased, and the price trend of fluorite on the floor dropped slightly. Domestic fluorite manufacturers have been operating stably. The start-up of mines and flotation units in the fluorite yard has increased. The delivery of fluorite in the fluorite yard is general, and the fluorite market price has declined. In March, the price trend of downstream hydrofluoric acid market rose slightly, and the terminal downstream was mainly purchased on demand. By the end of the month, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2500-2700 yuan / T, the mainstream negotiation of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2700-2900 yuan / T, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2700-2900 yuan / T, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2700-2900 yuan / T Slightly down.

 

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite rose slightly. By the end of the month, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10622.22 yuan / ton, up 0.0% in March. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid market remained high, which had a certain positive support for the upstream fluorite market, and the price trend of fluorite did not decline much. The domestic refrigerant market is on the rise. Recently, the automobile industry’s sales market has improved, and the refrigerant market has improved. The demand is mainly based on demand. The refrigerant industry is on the rise, and the market of various types of refrigerants has increased slightly. However, the manufacturers are under pressure to ship, the sales pressure is large, the price of raw material hydrofluoric acid is rising, which brings a certain cost support, and the export volume of refrigerants has little change The output of downstream air conditioning is low, the demand is scarce, the off-season effect of after-sales market continues, and the price of refrigerant increases little. On the whole, the positive factors support the refrigerant market generally, and the price increase is limited. At present, the load of R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, and the market price remains at a low level. However, the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see sentiment, the delivery of goods is not smooth, and the actual transaction focus rises slightly. Some businesses still have the phenomenon of cost inversion. The mainstream of on-site negotiations is 15500-17000 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers reduced load operation, which supported R134a price rising. At present, the follow-up of the demand side is insufficient, the demand of the car market is not good, and the transaction of the high price R134a new order is general, the downstream receiving capacity is limited, and the wait-and-see mood is strong. At present, R134a market quotation is mostly in the range of 19000-22000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the lower refrigerant market is improving, the fluorite price trend is supported, and the fluorite price remains high.

 

Overall, the market of downstream refrigerant industry has improved slightly. In addition, the market price of hydrofluoric acid has remained high recently, but the supply of fluorite has increased. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the market price of fluorite may fall slightly in the short term.

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On March 31, the price trend of fluorine chemical products was temporarily stable

On March 31, 2021, in the price rise and fall list of fluorine chemical industry, there were 0 kinds of commodities that rose, 0 kinds of commodities that fell, and 7 kinds of commodities that rose or fell to 0. Stable products include fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, aluminum fluoride, chloroform, cryolite, R22, R134a.

 

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On March 31, the market price trend of fluorine chemical raw materials was temporarily stable. The price of raw material fluorite was 2750 yuan / ton, and the price trend of fluorite remained stable. Recently, some fluorite plants in China started generally, some mines and flotation plants stopped, and the fluorite supply in the plant was normal. However, in the near future, the downstream market was mainly stable, and the decline of fluorite price was limited. As of 31 December, the price of fluorite in Jiangxi was 2700-2900 yuan / ton, and that in Inner Mongolia was 2500-2700 yuan / ton. It is expected that the price of fluorite will remain high and stable in the future.

 

In the near future, the price trend of the downstream refrigerant industry is temporarily stable, and the operating rate remains low. The demand for hydrofluoric acid is general. However, due to the normal supply in the market, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable. As of 31 December, the quotation of hydrofluoric acid Market is 10622.22 yuan / ton. In the near future, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable, and the operating rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid is less than 60% Fluoric acid spot supply is normal. Recently, the market of goods on the floor is general. The ex factory price of some enterprises is stable. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. However, people on the floor reflect that it is difficult for the hydrofluoric acid market to rise sharply in the near future. Business analyst Chen Ling thinks that the market of hydrofluoric acid may be temporarily stable.

 

The price trend of aluminum fluoride products is temporarily stable, the market supply is normal, and the trading market is general. The ex factory quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Tianrui Crystal Technology Co., Ltd. is 8500 yuan / ton, and the quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Zerun energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8500 yuan / ton. The overall market supply of aluminum fluoride is sufficient, and the overall price trend of aluminum fluoride market is stable.

 

In recent years, the price trend of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is temporarily stable, the overall demand of downstream market has little change, and the demand for trichloromethane is general. With the demand procurement of downstream market, the price trend of trichloromethane market is stable. At present, trichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong Province have a high starting point, sufficient spot supply in the market, general shipment and normal sales. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of chloroform is about 3650-3750 yuan / ton.

 

In recent years, the price trend of domestic cryolite is temporarily stable, the operation of the plant is stable, and the supply is normal. The domestic negotiation price is about 6500-7000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiation. In general, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry is general, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will remain volatile in the later period.

 

In the near future, the price trend of downstream refrigerant R22 is temporarily stable, the price of raw material chloroform remains high, and the cost support is general. In the near future, the downstream gradually starts to stock up, the demand side has risen, and the market center slightly rises. As the price trend of hydrofluoric acid is stable, the price of some affected refrigerants rises. Refrigerant R134a price trend has an upward trend, the market is strong operation. In the near future, the start-up in the downstream remained low, but the raw material support was strong, and the refrigerant market was temporarily stable.

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acetic acid market weak finishing

According to the bulk data monitoring of business news agency, the acetic acid market decreased slightly this week. The price of acetic acid in the week was 6143.33 yuan / ton, which decreased by 0.54% compared with the average ex factory price of 6176.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and increased by 157.76% compared with the same period last year. As of March 28, the market price of acetic acid in China is as follows:

 

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Region ﹣ date ﹣ quotation

Shandong Province, March 28, 2008: 5930-6300 yuan / ton

Jiangsu Province: March 28, 2000-6200 yuan / ton

In Zhejiang Province, RMB 6100-6300 / T on March 28

Hebei Province, March 28, 2008: RMB 5850-5900 / T

In Northwest China on March 28, 2000 yuan / ton

In South China on March 28, 2008, RMB 6100-6150 / T

In North China on March 28, 2008, RMB 5900-6000 / T

This week, the domestic acetic acid market was weak and consolidated, Shaanxi Yanchang plant returned to normal, and the supply of acetic acid in the market increased. However, the lower reaches were relatively resistant to high prices, and the purchase was limited. Most traders purchased on demand. The short-term market supply was still relatively tight, and the price of acetic acid was firm and stable.

 
The domestic methanol market rose slightly. In the mainland, the spring inspection ushered in the peak period, and the supply contracted significantly. In the port, the inventory is still in the process of de stocking, but it is relatively weak compared with the mainland. At present, Shandong Province is about 2330 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the market of vinyl acetate and acetate is mainly on the wait-and-see side. The manufacturers have stable operation of devices, sufficient supply of goods in the market, and the terminal purchases on demand. The quotations of mainstream manufacturers are mostly stable, and the downstream demand is limited.

 

According to acetic acid analysts of business news agency, at present, the domestic acetic acid market price is strong. Although the short-term market supply is limited, Shaanxi Yanchang acetic acid plant is back to normal, Henan Shunda plant is restarted, and the on-site supply is gradually increasing. It is expected that the acetic acid market will decline slightly in the near future.

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The rising trend of raw materials is hard to change, boosting PC prices all the way up

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of March 26, the comprehensive price of PC market was 25300.00 yuan / ton, the price of PC market continued to rise, and the focus of negotiation continued to be high. Compared with the beginning of this week, the price increased by 3.97%, compared with March 25, the price increased by 4.12%, up to 1000 yuan / ton.

 

This week, the domestic PC market continued to be high, and the price continued to rise. The raw material bisphenol a market was still expected to rise. The price remained high, the PC cost pressure remained unchanged, and the price was passively rising. It was difficult to see a decline in the short term. The overall market transaction atmosphere was cautious, and the industry held a cautious wait-and-see attitude. Under the influence of various political reasons, a large number of domestic raw material enterprises collectively issued price increase notices, Boost the PC market price to further improve, the latest PC enterprise quotation: China blue plastic, Lotte chemical, kostrong, Luxi Chemical, daily increase reached 500 yuan / ton, for several consecutive days, continued to be red, from the supply side, this week’s domestic PC operating rate was 52%, most manufacturers centralized repair information has been released, early mainly to digest inventory, the current upstream raw material high support, pre-sale In the next week, the PC market will still maintain an upward trend, and the manufacturers will passively support the price, so it is difficult for the overall PC market to have a downward trend.

 

The following data are sorted out by the business association for reference only

Manufacturer / region: production capacity (ten thousand tons / year) quotation (ten thousand yuan / ton) planned maintenance date

Kostrong 50 2.69 April May March 26

Luxi Chemical Industry Co., Ltd

Lihuayi 13.2.6 no clear answer for the time being March 26

Shanghai Mitsubishi is expected to be 10-2.95 from May to March 26

China blue plastic parking Center

Zhejiang gale recovered on October 2.3 March 26

The price of upstream bisphenol a rose in a narrow range, continuing the upward trend. The reference price was 25700-25900 yuan / ton, the inventory remained low, the traders had a positive attitude, the raw materials were higher, and the PC price continued to rise. The following is the price trend comparison chart of bisphenol A and PC.

 

PC upstream bisphenol a industry chain price rise and fall chart, upstream prices continue to be high, PC pressure with rise.

 

PC analysts of business news agency think: due to the recent high level operation of raw materials and the centralized maintenance of PC enterprises, the operating rate is obviously insufficient. Under the pressure of cost and tight supply, it is expected that the PC market will run at a high price in the next week, and it is difficult to have the expected decline. The overall trend is mainly upward in a narrow range. (to get more information about goods and to grasp the price of goods, welcome to subscribe to the business community through the official account of the business community).

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