In 2016, food prices are not ideal, in general, the corresponding agricultural prices will also appear downturn. But the reality is the opposite, the fertilizer stored for the winter season, the market is “up” the sound of a rose: urea and compound fertilizer also rose, why prices fell relative, fertilizer prices will rise?
Fertilizer prices rise, farmers, dealers cautious winter

In the temple town of Shandong province Wenshang County Yin Cui Road, farmers have been doing county agents a fertilizer brand, and every year he will take advantage of the winter off-season reserves of chemical fertilizers, wait for sales in the coming year. But this year, although the manufacturers have been urging him to carry fertilizer, but he has no such plans.
Cui Xiulu said: “the market is now up too much, so we do not have winter storage. Manufacturers have been asking us to play, but we are on the sidelines, but also to consider whether the price can be sustained and stable”.
Continue to wait and see the attitude of the road, said the road, in the past, winter storage of fertilizer than the next spring to buy about 10% cheaper prices. But in recent years due to fluctuations in the price of fertilizer is too big, a lot of agricultural households in winter appeared in the “off-season season high stockpile, low price”, not only did not make money but had been lost, which makes them suspicious of winter this year. Especially in the face of urea prices rose this year, dealers are relatively cautious in the face of a lot of winter storage.
Cui Xiulu said: “the price of urea is very powerful, has reached 1500 yuan a ton, it is 1200 yuan, as long as the urea rose, associated compound fertilizer, two amine will rise, if prices rise too much is not ready for the winter”.

As with Cui Road, Anhui province Feixi County Township persimmon fertilizer dealers Zhang Shenhao also cautious on this year’s chemical fertilizer market, he did not dare to reserve this year.
Three reasons to boost the price of urea
Shandong zhuochuang Information Analyst Yang Xinxiu said, from the beginning of October, Chinese urea prices soared, and the overall economic situation. The first coal and sulfur price high consolidation, the cost of production of chemical fertilizer enterprises have support; second is the transport, Urumqi Bureau, Taiyuan Bureau will continue fertilizer railway freight preferential canceled, the implementation of the benchmark price, rail freight rose from the previous month 10-20%, and transportation; the motor load limit to a certain extent restricts the chemical fertilizer enterprises shipped, and improve the transportation cost. Third is affected by the slow increase in the compound fertilizer enterprises, the consumption of raw materials increased, and there is a winter storage just need to pull and the positive impact of tariff cancellation.

Compared with October, all kinds of fertilizer prices have appeared:
At present, China’s small granular urea factory price 1498 yuan / ton, compared with the beginning of October rose 21.52%; 64% diammonium factory price 2000-2100 yuan / ton, the price is at the end of October rose 50-100 yuan / ton; Qinghai port 62% to the Russian White potash potassium as an example, as of the end of November, the mainstream traders offer 1970 yuan / ton, rose 170 rose to 9.4% yuan / ton.
Outlook fertilizer is still up space
Yang Xinxiu also said that although the price of chemical fertilizer has increased compared with October, but compared with the same period last year, prices are still falling or flat. At present, the entire economic situation, the market outlook fertilizer is still up space.
Yang Xinxiu said: “the price is still relatively high due to upstream coal and fertilizer gas market, the production cost of fertilizer production enterprises have the obvious support; tension capacity, motor load limit increases logistics power price increase fertilizer stored in winter”.
Experts recommend fertilizer dealers and farmers:
The current enterprise speculation rising high voice, but the winter reserve fertilizer cycle is longer, a large amount of inventory, the industry should be based on their own prudent operation, do not blindly stockpile. Years ago the logistics is tight or difficult to ease, so the dealer can be properly prepared in advance of fertilizer.